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An international observatory estimates 15,859 dengue cases in Cuba, 10.6 times the average
The Global Dengue Observatory puts Cuba's case count so far in 2026 at 15,859, a figure 10.6 times higher than the average expected from the records of the past five years, and reaches it using predictive models because the last official Cuban report dates from June, according to Infobae.
Estimates consolidated by the Global Dengue Observatory put the island's accumulated cases so far this year at 15,859, 10.6 times the average expected from the records of the past five years, as reported by Infobae.
October, historically the month of highest incidence of the disease in the country, closed with 4,624 estimated infections. September recorded 4,102 and August 3,214, a progression the observatory describes as a sustained acceleration of the transmission curve.
The last official report from Cuban health authorities dates from June. With no periodic bulletins, the observatory turned to predictive models calibrated with 95% validation intervals to estimate the spread in the second half of the year. The Public Health Ministry acknowledged the simultaneous circulation of all four serotypes, with type two predominating, but did not update its epidemiological figures, and technical officials had previously admitted extensive under-reporting because many patients ride out fevers at home.
The lack of public records makes it impossible to know how many hospital admissions and deaths are linked to the virus. Conditions the analysis says facilitate transmission include power cuts that exceed 20 continuous hours in several provinces and force people to sleep with doors and windows open, water stored in tanks, drums and buckets without covers or larvicide tablets, the halt of vector control crews for lack of fuel, and rubbish piling up in urban areas.
In the health network, community pharmacies lack basic antipyretics and painkillers, including paracetamol, and a shortfall of laboratory reagents prevents confirmatory serological tests and platelet counts, so diagnoses are made on clinical grounds while Oropouche virus, influenza and chikungunya also circulate.
Sources: Infobae
Data updated: 2026-11-11T04:15:00.000Z